1-Min Market Brief_20250813

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Key Takeaways

  • Macro Environment: U.S. July CPI came in below expectations, indicating minimal tariff pass-through effects on inflation. The data reinforced market expectations for a September rate cut, with the probability rising to 94%. Risk appetite surged, sending all three major U.S. stock indexes higher, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 hitting record highs.
  • Crypto Market: Following the CPI release, Bitcoin saw a short-term spike and closed up 1.21% overall. BitMine announced plans to raise $20 billion to purchase more Ethereum, boosting ETH sentiment and pushing ETH above $4,600—a near four-year high. Bitcoin dominance fell below 60%, with broad gains in altcoins.
  • Outlook for Today: 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin to deliver remarks.

Main Asset Changes

Index Value % Change
S&P 500 6,445.75 +1.13%
NASDAQ 21,681.90 +1.39%
BTC 120,119.10 +1.21%
ETH 4,589.76 +8.66%
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 73 (vs. 68 a day earlier) — classified as “Greed“

Project Highlights

Trending Tokens: ETH, XRP, CYBER
  • SOL broke above $190; Solana ecosystem tokens FARTCOIN, PUMP, RAY, WIF, JUP, and BOME all rose.
  • XRP (+4%): U.S. SEC announced a settlement in its case with Ripple.
  • CYBER (+49%): Listed on Upbit, surging 150% before retracing.
  • DEEP (+13%) / WAL (+5%): Grayscale launched DeepBook and Walrus Trusts.
  • ZORA (+6%): Vitalik endorsed Zora’s app, suggesting Ethereum addresses be supported as account recovery methods.
  • KAIA (+2%): Kakao’s Kaia plans to launch a KRW stablecoin.
  • Monero suffered a “51% attack,” with Qubic surpassing 51% of XMR’s hash rate but opting not to take over the network; QUBIC rose 17%, XMR fell 5%.

Macro Economy

  • U.S. July CPI +2.7% YoY (slightly below expectations); core CPI +3.1% YoY (above expectations).
  • Fed’s unofficial mouthpiece: July CPI unlikely to prevent a September rate cut.
  • Trump: Powell should cut rates immediately and faces potential major lawsuit.
  • White House: Trump considering suing Powell over Federal Reserve building renovations.
  • U.S. Treasury Secretary: Fed has structural issues; hopes to find someone to reform it; suggests Fed consider a 50 bps cut in September.
  • Trump administration plans to reform employment data reporting; Trump’s nominee for BLS head once suggested halting monthly jobs reports.
  • U.S. national debt surpasses $37 trillion for the first time.

Industry Highlights

  • U.S. SEC announced settlement with Ripple in ongoing lawsuit.
  • Kazakhstan’s Fonte Capital launched Central Asia’s first spot Bitcoin ETF.
  • KuCoin, via DigiFT, becomes first to support UBS uMINT as collateral.
  • Circle to launch ARC, a Layer 1 blockchain focused on stablecoins, with USDC as native gas token.
  • BitMine planning $20B fundraising to buy more Ethereum.
  • Peter Thiel doubles down on Ethereum treasury strategy, taking a 7.5% stake in ETHZilla after investing in BitMine.
  • Norway’s sovereign wealth fund indirectly holds exposure to 7,161 BTC.

This Week’s Outlook

  • Aug 13: 2027 FOMC voting member, Richmond Fed President Barkin speech.
  • Aug 14: U.S. July PPI; 2025 FOMC voting member, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speech on monetary policy.
  • Aug 15: Russia–U.S. leaders summit; U.S. July retail sales; Ghana deadline for VASP registration; FTX to begin next round of claims registration, releasing $1.9B in disputed creditor reserve funds.
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