1-Min Market Brief_20250818

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Key Takeaways

  • Macro Environment: U.S. August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment unexpectedly declined, while short- and long-term inflation expectations rose. Adding pressure, Trump threatened new tariffs on chips, pushing U.S. equities lower with the S&P and Nasdaq closing down. U.S. Treasury yields broadly moved higher.
  • Crypto Market: On Friday, the crypto market retreated alongside U.S. equities, but rebounded “as expected” on Sunday, likely driven by institutional DCA inflows. The ETH/BTC ratio and Bitcoin market dominance remained steady, while altcoins largely tracked broader market swings. Sentiment stayed relatively stable.
  • Outlook for Today:
    • Ukrainian President Zelensky to meet U.S. President Trump in Washington
    • Thailand to launch a crypto-to-THB exchange program for foreign tourists
    • Coinbase Derivatives to launch SOL and XRP mini perpetual futures on U.S. platform
    • MELANIA token unlock: 5.60% of circulating supply, worth ~$5.7M

Main Asset Changes

Index Value % Change
S&P 500 6,449.79 -0.29%
NASDAQ 21,622.98 -0.40%
BTC 117,404.30 +0.02%
ETH 4,472.62 +1.14%
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 60 (vs. 64, 24h ago), current level: Greed

Project Highlights

Trending Tokens: LINK, ARB, OKB
  • LINK: Chainlink launched the “LINK Reserve Program” in early August, converting on-chain oracle network revenues and off-chain enterprise service earnings into LINK reserves.
  • CYBER: Boosted by Korean capital, Upbit 24h trading volume ranking: ETH, XRP, CYBER in top three.
  • SKY: Sky co-founder used 1.77M ENA to repurchase 16.38M SKY.
  • LTC: Media company TZUP partnered with Coinbase to include LTC in its digital asset management strategy.
  • DOGE: Grayscale filed an S-1 registration statement for a Dogecoin ETF.

Macro Economy

  • U.S. July retail sales MoM: 0.5%, in line with expectations
  • U.S. August 1-year inflation expectation (prelim): 4.9%, above forecast and prior
  • U.S. August Michigan Consumer Sentiment (prelim): 58.6, below forecast and prior
  • Trump: “Next week I will impose tariffs on steel and chips.”

Industry Highlights

  • Fed shut down the “Novel Activities Supervision Program” set up in 2023, which partially oversaw banks’ crypto-related activities
  • SEC Chair: mobilizing all departments to make the U.S. a global crypto hub
  • U.S. Treasury considering embedding digital ID verification in DeFi protocols
  • Thailand to allow foreign tourists to exchange crypto into THB for e-payments
  • India established its own Bitcoin Policy Research Institute
  • Michael Saylor released new Bitcoin tracker info, may disclose additional purchases next week
  • Bitcoin & Ethereum spot ETFs hit record weekly trading volume
  • Emirates Airlines, Travala, and Air Arabia now accept BTC, ETH, USDT for bookings
  • Ronin announced plans to transition from Ethereum sidechain back to Ethereum L2
  • Wells Fargo purchased $130M worth of Bitcoin
  • Bitmine (BMNR) added 135,000 ETH, bringing total holdings to 1.297M ETH

This Week’s Outlook

  • Aug 18: Zelensky meets Trump in Washington; Thailand launches crypto-to-THB exchange program; Coinbase Derivatives launches SOL & XRP mini perpetuals (U.S.); MELANIA unlock (5.60% of supply, ~$5.7M)
  • Aug 19: Deribit to launch USDC-settled linear options for BTC & ETH
  • Aug 20: Fed Governor Waller to speak at Wyoming Blockchain Conference; Brazil to hold hearing on Bitcoin strategic reserves; ZRO unlock (8.53%, ~$566M); KAITO unlock (10.87%, ~$262M); ZK unlock (8.53%, ~$566M)
  • Aug 21: FOMC meeting minutes release; Atlanta Fed President Bostic (2027 voter) to speak on economic outlook
  • Aug 22: Fed Chair Powell to deliver speech at Jackson Hole
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