1-Min Market Brief_20250820

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Key Takeaways

  • Macro Environment: An MIT report revealed that as much as 95% of companies have gained zero returns from their generative AI investments. The report shattered Wall Street’s optimism about AI and triggered a sharp sell-off in tech stocks. The Nasdaq closed down 1.46%, marking its second-largest drop since the tariff shock in April, while the S&P 500 fell for the third consecutive day.
  • Crypto Market: Bitcoin fell in tandem with tech stocks, dropping 2.88% in a single day, with its correlation to tech stocks rebounding significantly. The ETH/BTC ratio retreated to around 0.036, Bitcoin’s market dominance rose back to 60%, and altcoins broadly pulled back.
  • Outlook for Today:
    • Brazil to hold a hearing on Bitcoin strategic reserves on August 20
    • ZRO unlock: 8.53% of circulating supply (~$56.6M)
    • KAITO unlock: 10.87% of circulating supply (~$26.2M)
    • ZK unlock: 8.53% of circulating supply (~$56.6M)

Main Asset Changes

Index Value % Change
S&P 500 6,411.36 -0.59%
NASDAQ 21,314.95 -1.46%
BTC 112,880.00 -2.88%
ETH 4,075.62 -5.50%
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 44 (down from 56 in the past 24 hours), level: FEAR

Project Highlights

Trending Tokens: API3, OKB, MNT
  • API3 (+52%): Upbit listed API3/KRW and API3/USDT trading pairs, driving API3 up by over 70% in the short term. The rapid price surge attracted short positions, with API3 futures trading volume surging 652%, open interest up 188%, and funding rates remaining negative for an extended period.
  • SUI (-3%): Robinhood launched SUI spot trading. After a brief uptick, SUI fell back in line with the broader market.
  • BIO (-3%): Bithumb added a BIO/KRW trading pair.

Macro Economy

  • S&P affirms U.S. sovereign rating at “AA+/A-1+” with a stable outlook
  • U.S. Treasury Secretary: Tariff revenues will be used to repay U.S. debt and reduce deficit-to-GDP ratio
  • Trump again criticizes Powell, calls for Fed rate cuts

Industry Highlights

  • South Korea orders exchanges to suspend crypto lending services until new guidelines are issued
  • Wyoming issues the first state-level U.S. stablecoin, FRNT
  • Fed Governor Bowman: Supports Fed staff holding small amounts of crypto, believing the experience will help them better regulate financial markets
  • SEC Chair: Only a minority of crypto tokens qualify as securities
  • Tether appoints former White House Crypto Council Executive Director Bo Hines as Strategic Advisor
  • RWA firm Figure to go public on Nasdaq under the ticker “FIGR”
  • Paxos approved to issue PYUSD on the Stellar network
  • SkyBridge Capital plans to tokenize $300M of assets on Avalanche

This Week’s Outlook

  • August 20: Brazil hearing on Bitcoin strategic reserves; ZRO unlock 8.53% ($56.6M); KAITO unlock 10.87% ($26.2M); ZK unlock 8.53% (~$56.6M)
  • August 21: Fed to release minutes of its monetary policy meeting; 2027 FOMC voter and Atlanta Fed President Bostic to speak on the economic outlook
  • August 22: Powell to deliver a speech at Jackson Hole
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