1-Min Market Brief_20250825

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Key Takeaways

  • Macro Environment: At Jackson Hole, Powell struck a dovish tone, noting rising downside risks in the labor market and stating that further tightening may not be necessary. Expectations for a September rate cut surged, driving all three major U.S. indices sharply higher. Small-cap stocks outperformed large-caps, reflecting broadening risk appetite.
  • Crypto Market: Powell’s dovish remarks reignited market sentiment. BTC rallied rapidly from USD 112K to USD 117K before weekend whale sell-offs pushed it lower. ETH showed strong momentum, breaking a new all-time high and lifting ETH/BTC above 0.042. Bitcoin dominance fell below 58% as major altcoins surged broadly.
  • Outlook for Today:
    • Japan Crypto Summit WebX (Aug 25–26, Tokyo)
    • ALT unlock: 6.01% of circulating supply, ~$8.5M

Main Asset Changes

Index Value % Change
S&P 500 6,466.92 +1.52%
NASDAQ 21,496.53 +1.88%
BTC 113,463.60 -1.69%
ETH 4,780.14 +0.03%
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 47 (previously 53, 24h ago), Neutral.

Project Highlights

Trending Tokens: WLFI, AAVE, OKB
  • WLFI: Trading and initial 20% claims will open on September 1; multiple major exchanges launched pre-market trading for WLFI.
  • AAVE: Aave and WLFI teams clashed over Aave receiving 7% of total WLFI token supply, triggering significant AAVE price volatility.
  • ONDO: Ondo Finance announced tokenized stocks will launch on September 3.
  • IP: Story Foundation to initiate an $82M IP buyback program in the open market.
  • ZRO: LayerZero’s $110M Stargate acquisition proposal was approved.
  • OKB: OKX to launch a $100M X Layer ecosystem fund.

Macro Economy

  • Powell: Uncertainty around estimating maximum sustainable employment means policy tightening is not necessarily required. Announced abandonment of the 2020 Flexible Average Inflation Targeting framework, replaced with a new regime adaptable to varied conditions.
  • Market priced in 91.1% probability of a Fed rate cut in September after Powell’s remarks.
  • Canada to remove retaliatory tariffs on multiple U.S. products.
  • Fitch affirmed U.S. credit rating at “AA+” with a stable outlook.

Industry Highlights

  • U.S. DOJ announced it will no longer prosecute decentralized software developers under Section 1960(b)(1)(C).
  • Haycen approved in Bermuda to issue stablecoins, plans to launch GBP-pegged token.
  • Kraken completed deployment of distributed validator technology, enabling ETH staking through the SSV network.
  • Michael Saylor released another Bitcoin Tracker update.
  • China Renaissance signed a strategic MOU with YZi Labs, committing ~$100M to BNB allocation.
  • VanEck filed for a JitoSOL ETF; 21Shares registered an XRP ETF in Delaware.
  • WLFI token trading and initial 20% claims open Sept 1.
  • ETHZilla raised equity financing target to $10B to support ETH purchases.

This Week’s Outlook

  • Aug 25: ALT unlock (6.01% of supply, ~$8.5M); Japan Crypto Summit WebX (Aug 25–26, Tokyo).
  • Aug 26: HUMA unlock (23.38% of supply, ~$10M).
  • Aug 27: NVIDIA earnings; Hong Kong Blockchain Summit.
  • Aug 28: U.S. Q2 Real GDP annualized (revised); Bitcoin Asia opens at HKCEC with Eric Trump in attendance.
  • Aug 29: U.S. Core PCE (July).
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